The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 425 PA

Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 601 PA 0.84 Sweet-spot rateChase rateIsolated power In-zone contact -1.0zSprint speed +0.8zPull rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 623 PA 0.70 Strikeout rateOppo ratePull rate Barrel rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA 0.65 Chase rateGround-ball rateSprint speed Isolated power -1.3zSwing length +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 393 PA 0.65 Barrel rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 560 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBat speedFly-ball rate Swing length +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 368 PA 0.63 Whiff rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.6zPull rate +1.1zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA 0.62 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Isolated power -2.0zWalk rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 353 PA 0.61 Sprint speedIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Swing length -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 564 PA 0.61 Swing lengthStrikeout ratePull rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 371 PA 0.59 Pull rateSprint speedSwing length Isolated power -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 375 PA 0.58 Chase rateBat speedMax exit velocity Pull rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.4zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 585 PA 0.58 In-zone contactMax exit velocityBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.5zPull rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.