The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abrams, CJ in signal, the comp in amber.

WSH · bats L · 586 PA

Ranked comps for Abrams, CJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA 0.76 Max exit velocityOppo rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 378 PA 0.72 xwOBA on contactBat speedSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA 0.68 Walk rateBat speedHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.68 Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.6zSwing length +0.9zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 502 PA 0.66 In-zone contactIsolated powerStrikeout rate Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 556 PA 0.65 In-zone contactBarrel rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.0zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 551 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA 0.62 Chase ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA 0.62 Bat speedSwing lengthWalk rate Pull rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 607 PA 0.62 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.