The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Simpson, Chandler in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Simpson, Chandler
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 433 PA | 0.32 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityWalk rate | Chase rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA | 0.31 | In-zone contactWalk ratePull rate | Hard-hit rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 425 PA | 0.31 | Sprint speedOppo rateGround-ball rate | Hard-hit rate +2.9zBat speed +1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 390 PA | 0.30 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityChase rate | Sprint speed -2.0zHard-hit rate +1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.29 | In-zone contactIsolated powerOppo rate | Hard-hit rate +2.9zSweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 357 PA | 0.29 | Whiff rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -2.1zHard-hit rate +2.0zGround-ball rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 480 PA | 0.24 | Sprint speedBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate +2.2zStrikeout rate +2.0zWhiff rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 357 PA | 0.24 | Sprint speedChase rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 532 PA | 0.23 | xwOBA on contactChase rateMax exit velocity | Oppo rate -2.3zGround-ball rate -2.2zBat speed +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 586 PA | 0.16 | Oppo rateSwing lengthPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +3.0zGround-ball rate -2.3zWalk rate +2.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 323 PA | 0.14 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactChase rate | Ground-ball rate -2.6zSwing length +2.6zWalk rate +2.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 404 PA | 0.13 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate -2.9zSwing length +2.4zHard-hit rate +2.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.