The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Eldridge, Bryce in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats L · 393 PA
Ranked comps for Eldridge, Bryce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 519 PA | 0.84 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +0.8zAvg exit velocity -0.7zBarrel rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 625 PA | 0.78 | Oppo rateFly-ball rateWhiff rate | Isolated power +0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.8zSprint speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateSprint speedBat speed | Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -0.8zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 534 PA | 0.69 | Swing lengthHard-hit rateIsolated power | Chase rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 517 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.4zPull rate +1.1zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 601 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | In-zone contact -1.6zIsolated power +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerIn-zone contactBat speed | Swing length +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 425 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateOppo rateHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 626 PA | 0.65 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rateChase rate | Sprint speed +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 603 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateIn-zone contactSwing length | Chase rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 602 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedBarrel rate | Bat speed -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.