The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rutschman, Adley in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 433 PA

Ranked comps for Rutschman, Adley

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.76 In-zone contactChase rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.3zWalk rate +0.9zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 640 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.70 Swing lengthBarrel rateMax exit velocity Whiff rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA 0.68 In-zone contactBat speedBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 475 PA 0.67 Walk rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3zBat speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 580 PA 0.67 Swing lengthPull rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity -1.4zChase rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.66 Barrel rateBat speedOppo rate Max exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Contreras, William MIL · R · 684 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -0.9zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 494 PA 0.66 Bat speedWhiff rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 673 PA 0.66 Sprint speedBat speedStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.3zPull rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 731 PA 0.65 Whiff rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.2zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.