The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 406 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateChase rate Oppo rate +1.5zWalk rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 575 PA 0.67 Bat speedGround-ball rateSprint speed Max exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.66 Walk rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Max exit velocity -1.4zSprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 533 PA 0.63 Isolated powerPull rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.9zChase rate +1.2zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA 0.62 Bat speedSprint speedFly-ball rate Walk rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 555 PA 0.62 Whiff rateIsolated powerWalk rate Max exit velocity -1.6zOppo rate +1.5zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 409 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactWalk rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.5zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 416 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateBat speedBarrel rate Max exit velocity -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 526 PA 0.61 Barrel ratePull rateGround-ball rate Chase rate +2.1zMax exit velocity -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Young, Cole SEA · L · 569 PA 0.61 In-zone contactSwing lengthSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -2.2zChase rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.