The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 444 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.76 Sweet-spot rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 433 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate Fly-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.70 Bat speedChase rateSprint speed Walk rate +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA 0.69 Isolated powerWalk rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.68 Sprint speedPull rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.67 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactWalk rate Max exit velocity -1.2zChase rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 640 PA 0.66 Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.1zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 668 PA 0.65 Whiff rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Max exit velocity -1.6zOppo rate +1.4zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 475 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.9zSwing length +1.5zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSwing length +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.64 Sprint speedIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.4zStrikeout rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.64 Sprint speedPull rateIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.7zIsolated power +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.