The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint

No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.

Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Simpson, Chandler in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 550 PA

Ranked comps for Simpson, Chandler

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 433 PA 0.32 Sprint speedMax exit velocityWalk rate Chase rate +2.4zStrikeout rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +1.8z
02 Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA 0.31 In-zone contactWalk ratePull rate Hard-hit rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.9z
03 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 425 PA 0.31 Sprint speedOppo rateGround-ball rate Hard-hit rate +2.9zBat speed +1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.8z
04 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 390 PA 0.30 Swing lengthMax exit velocityChase rate Sprint speed -2.0zHard-hit rate +1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.6z
05 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA 0.29 In-zone contactIsolated powerOppo rate Hard-hit rate +2.9zSweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed +1.7z
06 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 357 PA 0.29 Whiff rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Oppo rate -2.1zHard-hit rate +2.0zGround-ball rate -1.8z
07 Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 480 PA 0.24 Sprint speedBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +2.2zStrikeout rate +2.0zWhiff rate +1.7z
08 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 357 PA 0.24 Sprint speedChase rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +2.1zHard-hit rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +2.0z
09 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 532 PA 0.23 xwOBA on contactChase rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -2.3zGround-ball rate -2.2zBat speed +1.8z
10 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 586 PA 0.16 Oppo rateSwing lengthPull rate Sweet-spot rate +3.0zGround-ball rate -2.3zWalk rate +2.3z
11 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 323 PA 0.14 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactChase rate Ground-ball rate -2.6zSwing length +2.6zWalk rate +2.5z
12 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 404 PA 0.13 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -2.9zSwing length +2.4zHard-hit rate +2.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.