Mithrandir Metrics
KC American League Central Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Kansas City Royals

82.7-79.3 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 80.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.7-79.3
Live pace
72.8
Delta
-9.9
Record 62-76 Run diff -83 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace72.8
Rolling p5075.9
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
67.1 71.3 75.9 80.5 84.6
MOVE -7.1 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.44
October path

Projection odds

Division29.5%
Playoffs47.8%
Pennant6.5%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.09
Bullpen FIP4.44
Run diff5.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-30.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJensen, Carter--2.42
1BPasquantino, Vinnie--4.17
2BTolbert, Tyler---0.44
SSWitt Jr., Bobby--11.94
3BLoftin, Nick----
LFRave, John---0.27
CFIsbel, Kyle----
RFCaglianone, Jac--1.78
DHPerez, Salvador--3.77
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Garcia, MaikelHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
India, JonathanHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Massey, MichaelHitterIL-10Injured 7-Day
Ragans, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Kolek, StephenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Estévez, CarlosPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Mears, NickPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
McArthur, JamesPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Avila, LuinderPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Erceg, LucasPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Black, MasonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
McGee, EastonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Little, LukePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Hoffman, NolanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors