Mithrandir Metrics
KC American League Central Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Kansas City Royals

82.7-79.3 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 80.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.7-79.3
Live pace
69.0
Delta
-13.7
Record 69-93 Run diff -120 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace69.0
Rolling p5072.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
64.6 68.5 72.8 77.1 81.0
MOVE -10.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.44
October path

Projection odds

Division29.5%
Playoffs47.8%
Pennant6.5%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.09
Bullpen FIP4.44
Run diff5.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
India, JonathanHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ragans, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Kolek, StephenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Estévez, CarlosPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Mears, NickPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Avila, LuinderPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day