Mithrandir Metrics
KC American League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Kansas City Royals

82.7-79.3 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 80.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.7-79.3
Live pace
60.4
Delta
-22.3
Record 22-37 Run diff -59 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace60.4
Rolling p5071.8
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
62.3 66.8 71.8 76.8 81.3
MOVE -11.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.44
October path

Projection odds

Division29.5%
Playoffs47.8%
Pennant6.5%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.09
Bullpen FIP4.44
Run diff5.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPerez, Salvador6033.77
1BPasquantino, Vinnie6104.17
2BMassey, Michael388-0.19
SSWitt Jr.., Bobby63011.94
3BGarcia, Maikel6083.50
LFCollins, Isaac4380.58
CFIsbel, Kyle458-1.15
RFMarte, Starling4180.35
DHThomas, Lane340-0.30