Mithrandir Metrics
SF National League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Francisco Giants

82.0-80.0 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.0-80.0
Live pace
63.2
Delta
-18.8
Record 23-36 Run diff -48 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace63.2
Rolling p5072.7
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
62.9 67.5 72.7 77.8 82.4
MOVE -9.3 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.29
October path

Projection odds

Division11.6%
Playoffs36.4%
Pennant4.0%
World Series1.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.263
Rotation FIP4.22
Bullpen FIP4.29
Run diff9.7
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHaase, Eric253-1.11
1BDevers, Rafael63610.09
2BArraez, Luis6241.26
SSAdames, Willy6274.99
3BChapman, Matt5474.07
CFGilbert, Drew255-0.02
RFLee, Jung Hoo5301.65
DHSchmitt, Casey3890.04