Mithrandir Metrics
SF National League West Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Francisco Giants

82.0-80.0 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.0-80.0
Live pace
66.2
Delta
-15.7
Record 56-81 Run diff -74 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace66.2
Rolling p5071.0
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
62.6 66.6 71.0 75.5 79.5
MOVE -11.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.29
October path

Projection odds

Division11.6%
Playoffs36.4%
Pennant4.0%
World Series1.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.263
Rotation FIP4.22
Bullpen FIP4.29
Run diff9.7
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CKnizner, Andrew259-0.86
1BEldridge, Bryce2180.19
2BFurman, Nate200-0.51
SSKoss, Christian303-0.61
3BBasabe, Osleivis201-0.58
LFGilbert, Drew255-0.02
CFCox, Jonah----
RFLee, Jung Hoo5301.65
DHDevers, Rafael63610.09
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Adames, WillyHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Chapman, MattHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Schmitt, CaseyHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Mayer, MarceloHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Houser, AdrianPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Brubaker, JtPitcherIL-10Injured 10-Day
Winn, KeatonPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Buttó, JoséPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Rodríguez, RandyPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Hentges, SamPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Wick, RowanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Peguero, JoelPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day