Mithrandir Metrics
WSH National League East Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Washington Nationals

69.4-92.6 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.4-92.6
Live pace
81.0
Delta
+11.6
Record 49-49 Run diff 26 Generated 2026-07-18T11:43:40.779297+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace81.0
Rolling p5076.4
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
66.6 71.2 76.4 81.6 86.3
MOVE +7.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.51
October path

Projection odds

Division0.2%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.249
Rotation FIP4.52
Bullpen FIP4.51
Run diff-103.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRuiz, Keibert395-0.60
1BGarcía Jr.., Luis5303.27
2BNuñez, Nasim2600.96
SSAbrams, Cj5933.00
3BMead, Curtis356-0.55
LFLile, Daylen3783.14
CFYoung, Jacob447-0.53
RFWood, James5929.29
DHCrews, Dylan3881.51