Mithrandir Metrics
WSH National League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Washington Nationals

69.4-92.6 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.4-92.6
Live pace
83.7
Delta
+14.3
Record 31-29 Run diff 1 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace83.7
Rolling p5076.3
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
65.6 70.7 76.3 82.0 87.1
MOVE +7.3 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.51
October path

Projection odds

Division0.2%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.249
Rotation FIP4.52
Bullpen FIP4.51
Run diff-103.4
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CRuiz, Keibert395-0.60
1BGarcía Jr.., Luis5303.27
2BNuñez, Nasim2600.96
SSAbrams, Cj5933.00
3BVivas, Jorbit2410.03
LFLile, Daylen3783.14
CFYoung, Jacob447-0.53
RFWood, James5929.29
DHCrews, Dylan3881.51