Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-01 · saved artifact ROWS 59 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs KC	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+74.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.985count	74.4%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
02	Miguel VargasCWS	CWS vs BAL	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+83.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.749count	83.9%selected	4.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
03	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs CHC	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	81.7%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
04	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs PHI	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.86count	79.6%selected	4.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
05	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs BAL	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.894count	78.2%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs KC	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+83.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.77count	83.1%selected	4.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
07	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs PHI	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+80.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	80.8%selected	4.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
08	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs NYY	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+72.63%	2+ Hitsline	1.027count	72.6%selected	4.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
09	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs PHI	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	79.4%selected	4.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Brayan RocchioCLE	CLE vs TEX	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.827count	80.9%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
11	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs BAL	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.874count	79.0%selected	3.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
12	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs KC	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+84.51%	1+ Hitline	0.731count	84.5%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
13	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+84.13%	1+ Hitline	0.733count	84.1%selected	4.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
14	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs KC	P 31.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.3%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+68.28%	2+ Hitsline	1.129count	68.3%selected	4.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
15	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs CHC	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+72.85%	2+ Hitsline	1.021count	72.9%selected	4.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
16	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs KC	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.1%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+70.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.087count	70.1%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
17	Michael ConfortoCHC	CHC vs SD	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+80.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.844count	80.2%selected	4.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
18	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs CLE	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.925count	77.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs STL	P 37.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	37.5%Over prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+62.46%	2+ Hitsline	1.269count	37.5%selected	4.88role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
20	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs SD	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.996count	73.9%selected	4.7role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
21	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 27.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+72.19%	2+ Hitsline	1.037count	72.2%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
22	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+76.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.927count	76.9%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs NYM	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+82.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.78count	82.7%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
24	James OutmanDET	DET vs NYY	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+88.21%	1+ Hitline	0.625count	88.2%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
25	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs STL	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.847count	80.1%selected	4.06role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
26	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs PHI	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.898count	78.0%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
27	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs STL	P 33.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.6%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+66.57%	2+ Hitsline	1.172count	66.6%selected	4.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
28	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs NYM	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.849count	80.0%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
29	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.983count	74.5%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
30	Romy GonzalezBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 33.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.0%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+67.03%	2+ Hitsline	1.158count	67.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
31	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs NYY	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.46%	2+ Hitsline	0.985count	74.5%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
32	Ernie ClementTOR	TOR vs NYM	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+79.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.873count	79.1%selected	4.09role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
33	Ty FranceSD	SD vs CHC	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.99%	2+ Hitsline	1.02count	73.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
34	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs NYM	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.7%selected	4.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
35	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+80.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.846count	80.1%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
36	Freddy FerminSD	SD vs CHC	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	28.2%Over prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	+71.76%	2+ Hitsline	1.048count	28.2%selected	4.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
37	Josh JungTEX	TEX vs CLE	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.50%	2+ Hitsline	1.078count	70.5%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
38	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs NYY	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+82.76%	1+ Hitline	0.778count	82.8%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
39	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs SD	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+77.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.9%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
40	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+75.48%	1+ Hitline	0.957count	75.5%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
41	Dominic SmithATL	ATL vs STL	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.1%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+69.94%	1+ Hitline	1.091count	30.1%selected	4.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
42	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs STL	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.1%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+72.89%	1+ Hitline	1.022count	27.1%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
43	Austin HedgesCLE	CLE vs TEX	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+86.98%	1+ Hitline	0.662count	87.0%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
44	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs NYY	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+80.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.844count	80.2%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
45	Ceddanne RafaelaBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.7%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+67.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.145count	67.7%selected	4.77role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
46	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs TEX	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	27.6%Over prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+72.45%	2+ Hitsline	1.031count	27.6%selected	4.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
47	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs STL	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.3%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+67.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.154count	67.3%selected	4.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
48	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 20.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.6%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+79.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.859count	79.6%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
49	Connor WongBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+76.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.924count	77.0%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
50	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.073count	70.7%selected	4.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
51	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs NYM	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.051count	71.6%selected	4.7role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
52	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs SD	P 32.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.8%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+67.20%	1+ Hitline	1.157count	32.8%selected	4.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
53	Ezequiel DuranTEX	TEX vs CLE	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+75.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.4%selected	4.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
54	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs TEX	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+83.02%	1+ Hitline	0.771count	83.0%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
55	Andruw MonasterioBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+77.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	77.7%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
56	Rhys HoskinsCLE	CLE vs TEX	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.9%Over prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+82.05%	1+ Hitline	0.797count	17.9%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
57	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs WSH	P 30.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.7%Over prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+69.33%	2+ Hitsline	1.106count	30.7%selected	4.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
58	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs PIT	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+76.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.94count	76.1%selected	4.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
59	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs STL	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.5%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+69.52%	1+ Hitline	1.102count	30.5%selected	4.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books