The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 475 PA

Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 542 PA 0.74 Avg exit velocityChase rateSwing length Oppo rate +1.4zPull rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z
02 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 627 PA 0.72 Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zBarrel rate +0.9z
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 498 PA 0.63 In-zone contactFly-ball rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zPull rate +0.9z
04 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 554 PA 0.60 Bat speedChase rateHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 502 PA 0.57 Swing lengthOppo rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.55 xwOBA on contactBarrel ratePull rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.3z
07 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 635 PA 0.55 Whiff rateBat speedPull rate Chase rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.2z
08 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA 0.55 Whiff ratePull rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2z
09 Greene, Riley DET · L · 525 PA 0.51 Fly-ball rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zPull rate -1.2z
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 607 PA 0.51 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +2.3zChase rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.2z
11 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 614 PA 0.50 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Oppo rate +2.5zPull rate -1.6zChase rate +1.3z
12 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 584 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -2.7zGround-ball rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.