The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Nathaniel in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 377 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Nathaniel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA | 0.76 | Barrel ratePull rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 557 PA | 0.74 | Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Isolated power -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.71 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.1zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 555 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.4zWalk rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zWhiff rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 530 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateFly-ball rate | Hard-hit rate +1.2zBarrel rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 533 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.7zWalk rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.67 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.3zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 439 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedFly-ball rateWalk rate | Chase rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.66 | Pull rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | xwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 315 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerPull rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | France, Ty SD · R · 431 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.