The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (307+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats R · 668 PA

Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 441 PA 0.76 Strikeout rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Isolated power -1.2zChase rate +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 582 PA 0.72 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 500 PA 0.70 Bat speedHard-hit rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 588 PA 0.68 In-zone contactBat speedSwing length Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 404 PA 0.67 Barrel rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Pull rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Springer, George TOR · R · 484 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Max exit velocity +1.2zSwing length +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.66 In-zone contactGround-ball ratePull rate xwOBA on contact +1.4zBarrel rate +1.2zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed Max exit velocity +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 374 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateOppo rateBarrel rate Strikeout rate +1.6zSwing length +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 374 PA 0.64 Swing lengthWhiff rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4zPull rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 437 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.5zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityBat speedGround-ball rate Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.