The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Grisham, Trent in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 495 PA

Ranked comps for Grisham, Trent

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 462 PA 0.70 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.0zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.69 Whiff rateGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Isolated power +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.1zPull rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 631 PA 0.67 Pull rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Max exit velocity -1.2zHard-hit rate -0.9zWalk rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 533 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBat speed Max exit velocity -1.1zOppo rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBat speedFly-ball rate Pull rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 401 PA 0.63 Pull rateBat speedSwing length Chase rate +1.9zIsolated power -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 315 PA 0.63 Walk rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.7zChase rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 357 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactBat speedGround-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.7zChase rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateWalk rate Sprint speed +1.8zSwing length -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.