The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 467 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 306 PA 0.78 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateSwing length In-zone contact -1.3zChase rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 486 PA 0.66 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 615 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerWhiff rate Chase rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 585 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityPull rateChase rate Oppo rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 355 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityWhiff ratePull rate Ground-ball rate +2.1zFly-ball rate -2.1zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 513 PA 0.59 Bat speedBarrel rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.59 In-zone contactFly-ball rateBarrel rate Pull rate +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.7zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA 0.58 Isolated powerWalk rateBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 598 PA 0.56 Walk rateBat speedOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA 0.56 Barrel rateBat speedFly-ball rate Chase rate -1.8zPull rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateIsolated powerPull rate Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 587 PA 0.55 Ground-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Hard-hit rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.