The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (308+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 672 PA
Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 446 PA | 0.76 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Isolated power -1.3zChase rate +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 586 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityChase rate | Fly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ramírez, José CLE · L · 505 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.1zIsolated power -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactPull rateGround-ball rate | xwOBA on contact +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 592 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactBat speedSwing length | Chase rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed | Max exit velocity +1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.9zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 408 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Pull rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Springer, George TOR · R · 489 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity +1.2zSwing length +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 378 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.6zSwing length +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 378 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthWhiff rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.4zPull rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 421 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocityBat speedBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 569 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.3zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.