The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 344 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 406 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.5zChase rate -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 446 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -1.2zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 272 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedChase rateBarrel rate | Pull rate +1.9zIsolated power +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 252 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.9zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 230 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Pull rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 420 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Pull rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA | 0.61 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | France, Ty SD · R · 253 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateChase rateStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 427 PA | 0.60 | xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 420 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateChase rate | Pull rate +2.4zStrikeout rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 433 PA | 0.58 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerWalk rate | Swing length -1.4zBat speed -1.3zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 301 PA | 0.58 | Bat speedGround-ball ratePull rate | Sprint speed +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.