The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Nathaniel in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 478 PA
Ranked comps for Lowe, Nathaniel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.75 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length +1.0zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.73 | Isolated powerPull rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zIn-zone contact -0.9zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA | 0.72 | Chase ratePull rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zWalk rate +0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedBarrel ratePull rate | Bat speed -1.2zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 625 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed +2.0zPull rate -0.9zChase rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Barrel rate +1.3zChase rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.3zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Bat speed -1.6zSwing length -1.3zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout ratePull rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | France, Ty SD · R · 548 PA | 0.67 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 433 PA | 0.66 | Walk rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Fly-ball rate +1.3zSwing length -1.3zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA | 0.66 | Oppo rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.