The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats L · 475 PA
Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 542 PA | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityChase rateSwing length | Oppo rate +1.4zPull rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 627 PA | 0.72 | Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 498 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 554 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedChase rateHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 502 PA | 0.57 | Swing lengthOppo rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.55 | xwOBA on contactBarrel ratePull rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 635 PA | 0.55 | Whiff rateBat speedPull rate | Chase rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 598 PA | 0.55 | Whiff ratePull rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate +1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 525 PA | 0.51 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zPull rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 607 PA | 0.51 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +2.3zChase rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 614 PA | 0.50 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +2.5zPull rate -1.6zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 584 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.7zGround-ball rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.