The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, William in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats R · 572 PA

Ranked comps for Contreras, William

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 321 PA 0.77 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Oppo rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 467 PA 0.74 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Pull rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.8zSprint speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 380 PA 0.71 Swing lengthIsolated powerFly-ball rate Walk rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 630 PA 0.71 Oppo rateIn-zone contactChase rate Barrel rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 567 PA 0.70 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateSwing length Max exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 300 PA 0.70 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.5zChase rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 508 PA 0.69 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate -1.0zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 339 PA 0.66 Chase rateSprint speedIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthStrikeout rate Barrel rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Pull rate +1.3zSwing length +1.2zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 566 PA 0.65 Sprint speedGround-ball rateBarrel rate Swing length +1.8zPull rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.