The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ballesteros, Moisés in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 371 PA
Ranked comps for Ballesteros, Moisés
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 380 PA | 0.76 | Isolated powerBat speedIn-zone contact | xwOBA on contact +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.74 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Chase rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA | 0.74 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Isolated power +1.3zSwing length +0.9zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 684 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateWalk rate | Strikeout rate -1.4zChase rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Chase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +2.0zOppo rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactPull rateIsolated power | Sprint speed +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 403 PA | 0.61 | Bat speedStrikeout rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.3zSwing length +1.2zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA | 0.60 | Oppo rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.4zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Swing length +2.0zIsolated power +1.1zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA | 0.59 | In-zone contactOppo rateWalk rate | xwOBA on contact +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.7zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.