The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 442 PA

Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA 0.79 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.7zIn-zone contact -0.5z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.78 Pull rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.1zChase rate -1.0zWalk rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.75 Bat speedStrikeout rateWalk rate Avg exit velocity +1.0zChase rate -0.9zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA 0.73 Walk rateOppo rateBat speed In-zone contact -1.2zSprint speed -1.0zGround-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.70 Bat speedBarrel rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.70 Oppo rateHard-hit rateBat speed Whiff rate +1.5zIn-zone contact -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA 0.67 Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate Pull rate -1.1zSwing length -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.66 Pull rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 625 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityChase rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.64 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateChase rate Walk rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.62 Chase rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.7zIsolated power -1.3zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.