The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 431 PA

Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.82 Max exit velocityIsolated powerBarrel rate Chase rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.9zSwing length -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.82 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWhiff rate Isolated power -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.7zBarrel rate -0.5z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateChase rateBat speed Whiff rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.73 Ground-ball ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity +1.0zChase rate -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA 0.73 Oppo rateWalk rateChase rate In-zone contact -1.2zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 631 PA 0.73 Barrel rateIsolated powerBat speed Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 557 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -0.9zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 377 PA 0.67 Whiff rateHard-hit rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.3zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Contreras, William MIL · R · 562 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 372 PA 0.65 In-zone contactChase rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.8zSwing length -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 486 PA 0.65 Swing lengthBarrel rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.2zWalk rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.