The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (294+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tucker, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats L · 561 PA
Ranked comps for Tucker, Kyle
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 414 PA | 0.75 | Isolated powerPull rateBat speed | In-zone contact +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 643 PA | 0.75 | Walk rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +0.9zMax exit velocity +0.8zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 362 PA | 0.73 | In-zone contactBat speedBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0zHard-hit rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA | 0.72 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 497 PA | 0.71 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Swing length +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 632 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.2zWhiff rate -1.0zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.1zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 642 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Isolated power +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.67 | Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate | Walk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 343 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 427 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -1.6zOppo rate -1.2zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 472 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Swing length -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.