The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burleson, Alec in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 420 PA

Ranked comps for Burleson, Alec

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 398 PA 0.74 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Strikeout rate +1.0zSwing length +1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 321 PA 0.74 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.3zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 248 PA 0.69 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Strikeout rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 272 PA 0.68 Walk ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1zWhiff rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 420 PA 0.66 Barrel rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 230 PA 0.62 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Strikeout rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Whiff rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Machado, Manny SD · R · 406 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.4zPull rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 418 PA 0.62 In-zone contactFly-ball rateWalk rate xwOBA on contact -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 344 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateChase rate Pull rate -2.4zStrikeout rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.59 Bat speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Swing length -1.8zPull rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 García Jr., Luis WSH · L · 341 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.