The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ewing, A.J. in signal, the comp in amber.
NYM · bats L · 230 PA
Ranked comps for Ewing, A.J.
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 408 PA | 0.82 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed -0.7zStrikeout rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 434 PA | 0.80 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.0zChase rate -0.8zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 347 PA | 0.68 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.5zSwing length +1.5zxwOBA on contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA | 0.64 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA | 0.62 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactPull rate | Swing length +1.5zWhiff rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 347 PA | 0.62 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.9zSwing length +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 216 PA | 0.57 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.2zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 448 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.7zSwing length +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 303 PA | 0.55 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5zSwing length +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 432 PA | 0.53 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateIsolated power | Strikeout rate -1.9zWalk rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 324 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateBat speedPull rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zWhiff rate -1.5zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.