The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arraez, Luis in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Arraez, Luis
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA | 0.39 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power | Ground-ball rate +2.2zSweet-spot rate -2.0zFly-ball rate -2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 392 PA | 0.38 | In-zone contactBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate +1.9zSwing length +1.8zOppo rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Kwan, Steven CLE · L · 554 PA | 0.30 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | Walk rate +3.2zChase rate -2.3zFly-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA | 0.28 | Chase rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -2.5zGround-ball rate +2.3zFly-ball rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.28 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.2zChase rate -1.8zBat speed +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 586 PA | 0.27 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Walk rate +2.2zChase rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 606 PA | 0.27 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityChase rate | Swing length +3.5zFly-ball rate -1.9zBat speed +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 436 PA | 0.26 | Chase rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity | Swing length +3.4zFly-ball rate -1.9zBat speed +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 332 PA | 0.25 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity | Swing length +2.3zStrikeout rate +2.3zBat speed +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 543 PA | 0.22 | Isolated powerSprint speedOppo rate | Swing length +4.3zBat speed +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rumfield, TJ COL · L · 563 PA | 0.21 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity +2.1zWalk rate +2.1zOppo rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.20 | Isolated powerFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.5zWhiff rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.