The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arraez, Luis in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Arraez, Luis
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 442 PA | 0.39 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +2.0zSwing length +1.9zWalk rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA | 0.37 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Ground-ball rate +2.2zSweet-spot rate -2.0zFly-ball rate -2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Kwan, Steven CLE · L · 699 PA | 0.31 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Walk rate +3.1zChase rate -2.2zFly-ball rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 640 PA | 0.29 | Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.1zBat speed +1.7zChase rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Straw, Myles TOR · R · 340 PA | 0.27 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerPull rate | Swing length +2.6zSprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 715 PA | 0.27 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactChase rate | Swing length +3.6zFly-ball rate -1.9zBat speed +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA | 0.26 | Isolated powerSprint speedAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +2.6zSweet-spot rate -2.3zFly-ball rate -2.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 607 PA | 0.26 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Walk rate +2.2zWhiff rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 533 PA | 0.23 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateIsolated power | Swing length +3.5zBat speed +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 363 PA | 0.23 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Strikeout rate +2.6zSwing length +2.5zBat speed +2.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rumfield, TJ COL · L · 657 PA | 0.22 | Fly-ball rateChase rateGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity +2.1zWalk rate +2.1zWhiff rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 667 PA | 0.20 | Sprint speedIsolated powerWalk rate | Swing length +4.4zBat speed +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.