The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Goldschmidt, Paul in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats R · 403 PA
Ranked comps for Goldschmidt, Paul
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.75 | Chase rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.9zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateWalk rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateIsolated powerSprint speed | In-zone contact +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | France, Ty SD · R · 548 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedSwing lengthGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA | 0.62 | Whiff rateBat speedWalk rate | In-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Avg exit velocity +1.3zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 371 PA | 0.61 | Bat speedStrikeout rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.3zSwing length -1.2zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.61 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | In-zone contact +2.0zOppo rate -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.58 | Walk rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 712 PA | 0.57 | Pull rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 361 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.0zStrikeout rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.