The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Goldschmidt, Paul in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats R · 363 PA
Ranked comps for Goldschmidt, Paul
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 624 PA | 0.76 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedPull rate | Avg exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed +0.9zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | France, Ty SD · R · 431 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity +1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateChase rate | In-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 411 PA | 0.63 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Sprint speed +2.2zAvg exit velocity +1.0zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 585 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactOppo rateWhiff rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA | 0.59 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateSprint speed | In-zone contact +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 305 PA | 0.57 | Whiff rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Swing length -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | In-zone contact +2.1zPull rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 306 PA | 0.56 | Walk rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.1zIsolated power -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 334 PA | 0.55 | Walk rateSwing lengthGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.7zOppo rate -1.7zPull rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA | 0.53 | Strikeout rateSprint speedBat speed | Isolated power -1.9zPull rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 595 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateSwing lengthBat speed | Avg exit velocity +2.1zHard-hit rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.