The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Steer, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats R · 405 PA
Ranked comps for Steer, Spencer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.75 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.2zPull rate -1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Barrel rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 502 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateOppo rate | Chase rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 575 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSprint speed | Pull rate -1.6zHard-hit rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Isolated power +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.1zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.3zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA | 0.65 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactWhiff rateOppo rate | Max exit velocity +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 526 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedWhiff rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Barrel rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 551 PA | 0.61 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Pull rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.