The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 348 PA

Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 524 PA 0.69 Bat speedHard-hit rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -0.9zSprint speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 523 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 356 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateFly-ball rate Pull rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.0zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 577 PA 0.65 Fly-ball ratePull rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zSwing length -1.4zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 319 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateWalk rate Oppo rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.5zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA 0.64 Whiff rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 486 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactBat speedAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateBat speedIsolated power In-zone contact +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 440 PA 0.61 Fly-ball ratePull rateGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA 0.61 Whiff rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 359 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate -2.3zSwing length -1.5zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.