Mithrandir Metrics
CWS American League Central Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Chicago White Sox

67.5-94.5 with P10-P90 wins 58-77. 81.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
67.5-94.5
Live pace
84.0
Delta
+16.5
Record 84-78 Run diff 56 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason67.0
Current pace84.0
Rolling p5079.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
70.5 74.7 79.4 84.1 88.4
MOVE +12.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division0.9%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.0%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.242
Rotation FIP4.42
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-125.9
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-10.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CTeel, Kyle--0.63
1BMurakami, Munetaka----
2BMeidroth, Chase---1.21
SSMontgomery, Colson--1.34
3BVargas, Miguel---0.59
LFAntonacci, Sam---0.69
CFDoyle, Brenton----
RFPeters, Tristan----
DHBenintendi, Andrew---0.64
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Baldwin, BrooksHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Player 695020HitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Leasure, JordanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Berroa, PrelanderPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Quero, EdgarHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Player 678577HitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Smith, ShanePitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Castillo, LuisPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Murphy, ChrisPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors