Mithrandir Metrics
HOU American League West Refreshed Oct 20 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Houston Astros

82.1-79.9 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.1-79.9
Live pace
81.0
Delta
-1.1
Record 81-81 Run diff -32 Generated 2026-10-20T11:50:28.634887+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace81.0
Rolling p5081.3
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
72.4 76.6 81.3 85.9 90.1
MOVE -0.7 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.35
October path

Projection odds

Division21.0%
Playoffs43.2%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.35
Run diff8.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-20.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDiaz, Yainer5563.20
1BWalker, Christian5773.23
2BAltuve, Jose6070.21
SSPeña, Jeremy5490.48
3BParedes, Isaac4931.53
LFWade Jr., LaMonte3741.04
CFVarsho, Daulton437-0.77
RFSmith, Cam4561.68
DHAllen, Nick431-2.11
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Correa, CarlosHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Meyers, JakeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Burrows, MikePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Walter, BrandonPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day