Mithrandir Metrics
HOU American League West Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Houston Astros

82.1-79.9 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.1-79.9
Live pace
83.3
Delta
+1.1
Record 73-69 Run diff -36 Generated 2026-09-05T11:48:43.555975+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace83.3
Rolling p5082.9
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
73.6 78.0 82.9 87.8 92.2
MOVE +0.9 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.35
October path

Projection odds

Division21.0%
Playoffs43.2%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.7%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.35
Run diff8.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-05; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-04.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CDiaz, Yainer5563.20
1BWalker, Christian5773.23
2BAltuve, Jose6070.21
SSPeña, Jeremy5490.48
3BParedes, Isaac4931.53
LFWade Jr., LaMonte3741.04
CFVarsho, Daulton437-0.77
RFTrammell, Taylor270-0.47
DHAlvarez, Yordan3718.23
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Correa, CarlosHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Matthews, BriceHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Burrows, MikePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Okert, StevenPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Dezenzo, ZachHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Loperfido, JoeyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors