Mithrandir Metrics
MIN American League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Minnesota Twins

80.1-81.9 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.1-81.9
Live pace
72.9
Delta
-7.2
Record 27-33 Run diff -21 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace72.9
Rolling p5076.5
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
66.3 71.1 76.5 81.8 86.6
MOVE -3.5 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs33.0%
Pennant3.7%
World Series1.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.257
Rotation FIP4.17
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-14.7
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CCaratini, Victor4280.04
1BClemens, Kody4210.37
2BKeaschall, Luke304-0.05
SSLee, Brooks487-0.31
3BGray, Tristan2561.60
LFLarnach, Trevor5343.58
CFBuxton, Byron5214.66
DHBell, Josh5443.34