Mithrandir Metrics
MIN American League Central Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Minnesota Twins

80.1-81.9 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.1-81.9
Live pace
76.9
Delta
-3.3
Record 65-72 Run diff -56 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace76.9
Rolling p5077.8
Observed weight70%
Rolling wins
68.8 73.1 77.8 82.5 86.8
MOVE -2.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs33.0%
Pennant3.7%
World Series1.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.257
Rotation FIP4.17
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-14.7
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJeffers, Ryan4901.89
1BLewis, Royce4380.11
2BClemens, Kody4210.37
SSCulpepper, Kaelen----
3BLee, Brooks487-0.31
LFLarnach, Trevor5343.58
CFJenkins, Walker----
RFKeaschall, Luke304-0.05
DHBell, Josh5443.34
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Buxton, ByronHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Martin, AustinHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
López, PabloPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ryan, JoePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Festa, DavidPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Sands, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Wallner, MattHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Gray, TristanHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Orze, EricPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Acton, GarrettPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors