Mithrandir Metrics
MIN American League Central Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League Central

Minnesota Twins

80.1-81.9 with P10-P90 wins 71-90. 80.5 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
80.1-81.9
Live pace
77.0
Delta
-3.1
Record 77-85 Run diff -58 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason80.0
Current pace77.0
Rolling p5077.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
69.2 73.3 77.8 82.3 86.4
MOVE -2.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.45
October path

Projection odds

Division17.3%
Playoffs33.0%
Pennant3.7%
World Series1.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.257
Rotation FIP4.17
Bullpen FIP4.45
Run diff-14.7
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
López, PabloPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Festa, DavidPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Sands, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day