Mithrandir Metrics
TB American League East Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Tampa Bay Rays

73.0-89.0 with P10-P90 wins 64-82. 81.9 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
73.0-89.0
Live pace
98.0
Delta
+25.0
Record 98-64 Run diff 86 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason73.0
Current pace98.0
Rolling p5091.2
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
81.7 86.2 91.2 96.3 100.8
MOVE +18.2 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.33
October path

Projection odds

Division0.6%
Playoffs7.3%
Pennant0.4%
World Series0.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.33
Run diff-70.1
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHicks, Liam4030.36
1BAranda, Jonathan4374.55
2BPalacios, Richie2650.96
SSWalls, Taylor395-1.41
3BCaminero, Junior5545.90
LFSimpson, Chandler424-0.30
CFDeLuca, Jonny276-0.48
RFMesa Jr., Victor219-0.44
DHDíaz, Yandy6005.89
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Lux, GavinHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pepiot, RyanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Uceta, EdwinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Williams, CarsonHitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Player 699130HitterOut / inactiveForty Man
Boyle, JoePitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
McClanahan, ShanePitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Cleavinger, GarrettPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Englert, MasonPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Scholtens, JessePitcherOut / inactiveForty Man
Rodríguez, ManuelPitcherOut / inactiveForty Man