Mithrandir Metrics
TB American League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Tampa Bay Rays

73.0-89.0 with P10-P90 wins 64-82. 81.9 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
73.0-89.0
Live pace
104.1
Delta
+31.1
Record 36-20 Run diff 19 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason73.0
Current pace104.1
Rolling p5088.0
Observed weight48%
Rolling wins
76.3 81.9 88.0 94.2 99.7
MOVE +15.0 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.33
October path

Projection odds

Division0.6%
Playoffs7.3%
Pennant0.4%
World Series0.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.33
Run diff-70.1
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CFortes, Nick365-1.26
1BAranda, Jonathan4374.55
2BWilliamson, Ben349-0.00
SSWalls, Taylor395-1.41
3BCaminero, Junior5545.90
LFSimpson, Chandler424-0.30
CFMullins, Cedric509-1.08
RFVilade, Ryan220-0.19
DHDíaz, Yandy6005.89