Mithrandir Metrics
TB American League East Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Tampa Bay Rays

73.0-89.0 with P10-P90 wins 64-82. 81.9 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
73.0-89.0
Live pace
97.7
Delta
+24.7
Record 82-54 Run diff 54 Generated 2026-08-31T11:46:09.602503+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason73.0
Current pace97.7
Rolling p5090.1
Observed weight69%
Rolling wins
80.1 84.9 90.1 95.4 100.1
MOVE +17.1 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.33
October path

Projection odds

Division0.6%
Playoffs7.3%
Pennant0.4%
World Series0.2%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.251
Rotation FIP4.32
Bullpen FIP4.33
Run diff-70.1
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-08-31; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-08-31.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHicks, Liam4030.36
1BAranda, Jonathan4374.55
2BPalacios, Richie2650.96
SSWalls, Taylor395-1.41
3BCaminero, Junior5545.90
LFSimpson, Chandler424-0.30
CFMullins, Cedric509-1.08
RFDeLuca, Jonny276-0.48
DHDíaz, Yandy6005.89
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Williamson, BenHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Mesa Jr., VictorHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Lux, GavinHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pepiot, RyanPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Jax, GriffinPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Uceta, EdwinPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Sulser, ColePitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Williams, CarsonHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Player 699130HitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Boyle, JoePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Englert, MasonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Scholtens, JessePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Bigge, HunterPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors