Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-09-10 · saved artifact ROWS 40 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-10

Palantir 747 props Brier 0.166 ECE 0.036 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs TB	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.231count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
02	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs NYY	P 7.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.0%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+93.03%	1+ Hitline	0.528count	93.0%selected	2.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
03	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs ATL	P 8.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	91.1%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+91.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.598count	91.1%selected	2.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
04	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs COL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+82.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.785count	82.5%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
05	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs NYY	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.1%Over prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+76.94%	1+ Hitline	0.925count	23.1%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
06	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs ATL	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+76.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.938count	76.4%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
07	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+86.07%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	86.1%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
08	Danny JansenTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 7.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.8%Under prob · Palantir	48.8%no-vig	+92.80%	1+ Hitline	0.492count	92.8%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
09	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs TB	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.945count	76.1%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
10	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+84.95%	1+ Hitline	0.719count	85.0%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
11	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs ATL	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.961count	75.8%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
12	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+82.19%	1+ Hitline	0.786count	82.2%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
13	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+80.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.826count	80.9%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
14	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs NYY	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+81.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
15	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs PHI	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+83.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.768count	83.1%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
16	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs PHI	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.902count	77.9%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
17	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs TB	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.01%	2+ Hitsline	1.019count	73.0%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
18	Corey SeagerTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.3%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+76.74%	1+ Hitline	0.93count	23.3%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
19	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs TB	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.8%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+73.25%	1+ Hitline	1.014count	26.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
20	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs PHI	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+84.33%	1+ Hitline	0.736count	84.3%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
21	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs TB	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.1%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+73.94%	1+ Hitline	0.997count	26.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
22	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs TB	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.1%Over prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	+69.90%	2+ Hitsline	1.093count	30.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
23	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 32.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.1%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+67.93%	1+ Hitline	1.14count	32.1%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
24	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs PHI	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.9%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+82.07%	1+ Hitline	0.796count	17.9%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
25	Jake BurgerTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+82.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.782count	82.6%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
26	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs PHI	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.9%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+76.11%	1+ Hitline	0.945count	23.9%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
27	Joc PedersonTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.8%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+86.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.666count	86.8%selected	3.82role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
28	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 14.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.1%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+85.13%	1+ Hitline	0.714count	85.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
29	Jordan BeckCOL	COL vs NYY	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+86.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.699count	86.3%selected	3.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
30	Brandon NimmoTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+77.96%	1+ Hitline	0.895count	78.0%selected	4.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
31	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs COL	P 32.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.1%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+67.88%	1+ Hitline	1.141count	32.1%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
32	Evan CarterTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 12.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.8%Under prob · Palantir	86.7%no-vig	+87.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.638count	87.8%selected	3.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
33	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+80.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.835count	80.6%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
34	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.5%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.50%	1+ Hitline	1.008count	26.5%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
35	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs TB	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	17.8%Over prob · Palantir	17.2%no-vig	+82.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.793count	17.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
36	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TEX	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.8%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+77.17%	1+ Hitline	0.92count	22.8%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
37	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	69.9%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+69.86%	1+ Hitline	1.093count	69.9%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
38	Wyatt LangfordTEX	TEX vs SEA	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+79.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.872count	79.1%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
39	Aaron JudgeNYY	NYY vs COL	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.07%	2+ Hitsline	1.088count	70.1%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
40	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs HOU	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.4%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+78.63%	1+ Hitline	0.884count	21.4%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books