Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-01 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-02
Palantir
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12423 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.004
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Brayan Rocchio
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5 |
15.3%Valinor | 8.1%market | +6.9pp |
P
11.2
F
11.4
V
15.3
|
4.0pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1095 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Nick Gonzales
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6 |
14.5%Valinor | 7.8%market | +6.4pp |
P
12.7
F
15.5
V
14.5
|
2.8pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1135 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1 |
14.8%Valinor | 8.9%market | +5.6pp |
P
12.3
F
13.4
V
14.8
|
2.5pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 985 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2 |
15.9%Valinor | 10.1%market | +5.5pp |
P
19.0
F
17.9
V
15.9
|
3.1pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Alejandro Kirk
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 5 |
15.8%Valinor | 10.1%market | +5.3pp |
P
16.0
F
17.9
V
15.8
|
2.1pp | 1.132xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Ernie Clement
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 7 |
14.2%Valinor | 9.2%market | +4.6pp |
P
13.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.6pp | 1.132xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 945 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Bryson Stott
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
14.8%Valinor | 10.0%market | +4.4pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
14.8
|
1.2pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Andrew Vaughn
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
18.4%Valinor | 13.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
18.6
F
17.9
V
18.4
|
0.7pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Ezequiel Duran
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 9.1%market | +4.1pp |
P
12.7
F
14.2
V
13.5
|
1.5pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 965 avg 3 books |
| 10 | IN | MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3 |
17.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | +4.1pp |
P
20.9
F
17.9
V
17.6
|
3.3pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.5%market | +3.9pp |
P
19.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.1pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
15.7%Valinor | 11.5%market | +3.8pp |
P
24.9
F
31.0
V
15.7
|
15.3pp | 1.132xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 740 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
15.4%Valinor | 11.3%market | +3.7pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
15.4
|
1.2pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 755 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Cam Smith
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 9.5%market | +3.7pp |
P
13.7
F
10.3
V
13.5
|
3.3pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 920 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 7 |
12.5%Valinor | 8.6%market | +3.6pp |
P
16.1
F
15.7
V
12.5
|
3.6pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1025 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Jake McCarthy
COL
IN
|
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
12.4%Valinor | 8.6%market | +3.4pp |
P
15.5
F
14.2
V
12.4
|
3.1pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1020 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Josh Smith
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 6 |
12.6%Valinor | 9.2%market | +3.1pp |
P
13.7
F
14.2
V
12.6
|
1.6pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 955 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
16.2%Valinor | 12.7%market | +3.0pp |
P
18.2
F
17.9
V
16.2
|
1.9pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2 |
12.6%Valinor | 9.4%market | +2.9pp |
P
15.0
F
14.2
V
12.6
|
2.4pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 930 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Ty France
SD
IN
|
SD vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
12.6%Valinor | 9.4%market | +2.9pp |
P
16.8
F
15.7
V
12.6
|
4.2pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 925 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 3 |
17.3%Valinor | 14.0%market | +2.8pp |
P
19.6
F
15.7
V
17.3
|
3.9pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 22 | IN | SD vs CHCColin Rea · slot 3 |
12.6%Valinor | 9.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
17.2
F
17.2
V
12.6
|
4.6pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Gabriel Arias
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 6 |
13.7%Valinor | 11.0%market | +2.2pp |
P
17.9
F
17.9
V
13.7
|
4.2pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 775 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Dominic Smith
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 6 |
12.0%Valinor | 9.4%market | +2.2pp |
P
15.2
F
17.9
V
12.0
|
5.9pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 925 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5 |
12.4%Valinor | 10.1%market | +2.0pp |
P
14.9
F
14.2
V
12.4
|
2.5pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 860 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
16.8%Valinor | 14.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
19.8
F
15.7
V
16.8
|
4.1pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 555 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
J.t. Realmuto
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 7 |
14.3%Valinor | 12.3%market | +1.5pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
14.3
|
2.1pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 680 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Caleb Durbin
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 6 |
12.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | +1.5pp |
P
16.4
F
0.0
V
12.5
|
16.4pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 29 | IN | SD vs CHCColin Rea · slot 7 |
11.7%Valinor | 10.0%market | +1.3pp |
P
17.8
F
14.2
V
11.7
|
6.1pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 30 | IN | SD vs CHCColin Rea · slot 6 |
11.9%Valinor | 10.3%market | +1.3pp |
P
21.2
F
26.0
V
11.9
|
14.0pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 840 avg 3 books |
| 31 | IN | TOR vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
18.7%Valinor | 16.9%market | +1.2pp |
P
21.4
F
23.4
V
18.7
|
4.7pp | 1.132xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs AZZac Gallen · slot 5 |
14.7%Valinor | 13.1%market | +1.1pp |
P
19.2
F
17.9
V
14.7
|
4.5pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Jake Bauers
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
17.4%Valinor | 15.6%market | +1.1pp |
P
21.9
F
26.0
V
17.4
|
8.6pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Romy Gonzalez
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 5 |
13.6%Valinor | 12.2%market | +0.9pp |
P
24.2
F
31.1
V
13.6
|
17.5pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 685 avg 3 books |
| 35 | IN | CWS vs BALDean Kremer · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 13.8%market | +0.8pp |
P
22.7
F
26.0
V
15.2
|
10.7pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Matt Vierling
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3 |
12.4%Valinor | 11.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
15.9
F
26.0
V
12.4
|
13.6pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 2 |
15.7%Valinor | 14.4%market | +0.8pp |
P
18.3
F
15.5
V
15.7
|
2.8pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 12.3%market | +0.7pp |
P
21.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
8.1pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 14.4%market | +0.7pp |
P
19.1
F
17.9
V
15.6
|
3.5pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Miguel Vargas
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs BALDean Kremer · slot 2 |
13.7%Valinor | 12.7%market | +0.5pp |
P
23.9
F
26.0
V
13.7
|
12.2pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 41 | IN | MIA vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 6 |
12.7%Valinor | 12.0%market | +0.3pp |
P
14.3
F
11.1
V
12.7
|
3.2pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 705 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Jackson Chourio
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
17.5%Valinor | 16.6%market | +0.2pp |
P
23.1
F
17.9
V
17.5
|
5.6pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 480 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 5 |
16.8%Valinor | 15.9%market | +0.2pp |
P
16.5
F
17.9
V
16.8
|
1.4pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Gavin Sheets
SD
IN
|
SD vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +0.2pp |
P
25.7
F
31.1
V
14.2
|
16.9pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Josh Jung
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2 |
15.9%Valinor | 15.3%market | +0.1pp |
P
20.2
F
17.9
V
15.9
|
4.3pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4 |
19.0%Valinor | 18.6%market | -0.3pp |
P
20.5
F
17.2
V
19.0
|
3.3pp | 1.132xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 47 | IN | TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2 |
15.0%Valinor | 14.8%market | -0.4pp |
P
22.8
F
26.0
V
15.0
|
10.9pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 15.7%market | -0.6pp |
P
21.0
F
17.2
V
15.7
|
5.3pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
16.4%Valinor | 16.7%market | -0.8pp |
P
22.7
F
17.9
V
16.4
|
6.3pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Dillon Dingler
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2 |
12.4%Valinor | 12.8%market | -0.9pp |
P
20.3
F
17.9
V
12.4
|
7.9pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2 |
16.2%Valinor | 16.5%market | -0.9pp |
P
23.8
F
17.9
V
16.2
|
7.6pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1 |
15.0%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.0pp |
P
21.2
F
26.0
V
15.0
|
10.9pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 53 | IN | BOS vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 4 |
15.5%Valinor | 16.4%market | -1.4pp |
P
23.5
F
17.9
V
15.5
|
8.0pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
16.4%Valinor | 17.4%market | -1.6pp |
P
18.4
F
17.2
V
16.4
|
1.9pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Michael Conforto
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 7 |
12.0%Valinor | 13.6%market | -1.6pp |
P
17.0
F
17.2
V
12.0
|
5.2pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 635 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 7 |
13.3%Valinor | 14.5%market | -1.8pp |
P
18.2
F
17.2
V
13.3
|
4.9pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2 |
15.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.0pp |
P
22.0
F
17.9
V
15.0
|
7.0pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 58 | IN | TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6 |
12.6%Valinor | 14.6%market | -2.5pp |
P
17.4
F
15.5
V
12.6
|
4.8pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
16.6%Valinor | 18.6%market | -2.7pp |
P
21.7
F
17.9
V
16.6
|
5.1pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 3 |
15.9%Valinor | 18.2%market | -2.9pp |
P
26.6
F
26.0
V
15.9
|
10.6pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 8 |
10.6%Valinor | 13.9%market | -3.8pp |
P
18.1
F
17.2
V
10.6
|
7.5pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 595 avg 3 books |
| 62 | IN | DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.9%market | -4.0pp |
P
22.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.3pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 470 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 18.4%market | -4.1pp |
P
24.6
F
26.0
V
15.0
|
11.0pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
James Outman
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 8 |
10.1%Valinor | 13.9%market | -4.3pp |
P
19.5
F
19.6
V
10.1
|
9.5pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 595 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 9 |
8.6%Valinor | 13.5%market | -4.9pp |
P
20.7
F
17.9
V
8.6
|
12.1pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 640 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 19.9%market | -5.4pp |
P
26.5
F
26.0
V
15.3
|
11.2pp | 1.245xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Jake Rogers
DET
IN
|
DET vs NYYWill Warren · slot 9 |
8.7%Valinor | 14.6%market | -6.5pp |
P
18.7
F
11.4
V
8.7
|
10.0pp | 1.188xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 68 | IN | TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3 |
15.1%Valinor | 24.4%market | -10.2pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
15.1
|
4.9pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 295 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
17.5%Valinor | 27.1%market | -10.6pp |
P
19.8
F
17.2
V
17.5
|
2.6pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 255 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
18.5%Valinor | 29.3%market | -11.8pp |
P
21.4
F
17.9
V
18.5
|
3.5pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 230 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Luis Arraez
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1 |
14.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +6.9pp |
P
9.7
F
11.1
V
14.9
|
5.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 7 |
14.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +6.3pp |
P
10.4
F
10.3
V
14.3
|
3.9pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs BALDean Kremer · slot 6 |
13.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
8.4
F
9.1
V
13.1
|
4.7pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Mauricio Dubón
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5 |
13.3%Valinor | 8.5%market | +4.5pp |
P
10.5
F
11.1
V
13.3
|
2.8pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1 |
12.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.3pp |
P
9.4
F
10.3
V
12.3
|
2.9pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs AZZac Gallen · slot 7 |
11.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.6pp |
P
10.6
F
10.3
V
11.6
|
1.3pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Tyler Freeman
COL
IN
|
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 6 |
11.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.6pp |
P
10.4
F
4.7
V
11.6
|
6.9pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Taylor Walls
TB
IN
|
TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7 |
10.8%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
9.1
F
0.0
V
10.8
|
10.8pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 79 | IN | TB vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5 |
9.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.9pp |
P
4.6
F
0.0
V
9.9
|
9.9pp | 1.032xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4 |
17.8%Valinor | 18.9%market | -1.8pp |
P
21.7
F
17.9
V
17.8
|
3.8pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Rhys Hoskins
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 19.1%market | -1.8pp |
P
18.3
F
11.4
V
17.9
|
6.9pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
17.7%Valinor | 18.9%market | -1.9pp |
P
21.1
F
17.9
V
17.7
|
3.5pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Willy Adames
SF
Lineup pending
|
SF vs AZZac Gallen · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.1pp |
P
18.9
F
14.2
V
15.6
|
4.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Gary Sánchez
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 7 |
14.6%Valinor | 16.5%market | -2.5pp |
P
21.7
F
17.9
V
14.6
|
7.1pp | 1.122xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 85 | Lineup pending | LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
15.9%Valinor | 17.9%market | -2.6pp |
P
18.4
F
15.5
V
15.9
|
2.9pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
16.6%Valinor | 18.6%market | -2.6pp |
P
20.1
F
17.2
V
16.6
|
3.5pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1 |
16.1%Valinor | 18.2%market | -2.8pp |
P
18.2
F
17.9
V
16.1
|
2.1pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 7 |
13.0%Valinor | 16.2%market | -3.8pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
13.0
|
1.7pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Mickey Moniak
COL
IN
|
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 19.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
20.5
F
17.2
V
15.6
|
4.9pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 90 | Lineup pending | SF vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2 |
16.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -4.9pp |
P
19.4
F
15.5
V
16.2
|
3.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4 |
16.5%Valinor | 20.8%market | -5.0pp |
P
16.2
F
14.2
V
16.5
|
2.3pp | 1.119xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 2 |
17.5%Valinor | 21.7%market | -5.0pp |
P
23.4
F
17.9
V
17.5
|
6.0pp | 1.134xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3 |
16.2%Valinor | 21.0%market | -5.5pp |
P
19.8
F
15.7
V
16.2
|
4.1pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 360 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2 |
16.6%Valinor | 21.5%market | -5.6pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
16.6
|
3.0pp | 1.045xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Max Muncy
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 6 |
13.8%Valinor | 18.8%market | -5.7pp |
P
17.2
F
14.2
V
13.8
|
3.5pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
15.4%Valinor | 20.6%market | -5.8pp |
P
22.0
F
19.6
V
15.4
|
6.6pp | 0.958xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1671roster/transaction rows
Lineups207confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.