The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Braden in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats L · 389 PA
Ranked comps for Montgomery, Braden
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 549 PA | 0.53 | Whiff rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Swing length +2.4zBarrel rate +1.3zBat speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.52 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Whiff rate -1.9zSwing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 494 PA | 0.51 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Ground-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +2.1zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 695 PA | 0.50 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthBarrel rate | Whiff rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA | 0.49 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Bat speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA | 0.47 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.8zOppo rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 341 PA | 0.46 | Pull rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.5zWhiff rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA | 0.45 | Max exit velocityOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.9zWhiff rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA | 0.44 | Chase rateStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.8zWhiff rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 453 PA | 0.44 | Oppo rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Swing length +2.1zIn-zone contact +1.7zWhiff rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA | 0.43 | xwOBA on contactPull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +2.1zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA | 0.43 | Strikeout rateSprint speedWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -2.5zSwing length +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.