The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Braden in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 288 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Braden

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 577 PA 0.64 Swing lengthBarrel rateChase rate Whiff rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.59 Pull rateMax exit velocityOppo rate Whiff rate -1.4zSwing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 535 PA 0.57 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 441 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Swing length +2.4zBarrel rate +1.5zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 450 PA 0.50 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zBat speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 356 PA 0.48 Max exit velocitySprint speedOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.5zHard-hit rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Swing length +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA 0.47 Sprint speedStrikeout ratePull rate Swing length +2.2zGround-ball rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 400 PA 0.46 Bat speedOppo rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +2.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA 0.46 Pull rateSprint speedStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate -2.9zFly-ball rate +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 337 PA 0.46 In-zone contactChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +2.3zGround-ball rate -2.1zSprint speed -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 591 PA 0.46 Hard-hit rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +2.4zGround-ball rate -2.0zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.