The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 554 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 545 PA 0.82 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate +0.7zWalk rate -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA 0.72 Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.69 Isolated powerChase rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Strikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.7zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 380 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.62 Pull rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate xwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.61 Max exit velocitySweet-spot ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 458 PA 0.61 Isolated powerBat speedGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4zBarrel rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.59 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBat speed Oppo rate -2.0zWalk rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.