The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Butler, Lawrence in signal, the comp in amber.

ATH · bats L · 447 PA

Ranked comps for Butler, Lawrence

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA 0.78 Chase rateOppo rateSwing length Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0zBarrel rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 438 PA 0.77 Strikeout rateOppo ratePull rate Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 580 PA 0.73 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Bat speed -1.0zIsolated power +0.9zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 530 PA 0.64 Barrel rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.63 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.61 Barrel rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 287 PA 0.61 Whiff rateSwing lengthHard-hit rate Chase rate +1.7zSprint speed -1.3zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA 0.60 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityBat speed In-zone contact +1.6zSwing length +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.60 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Walk rate -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 334 PA 0.60 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySwing length Strikeout rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.