The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 441 PA

Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 450 PA 0.77 Oppo rateStrikeout ratePull rate Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.9zWalk rate +0.9z
02 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 535 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact -1.0z
03 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.59 Bat speedFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.4z
04 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA 0.59 Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z
05 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA 0.58 Pull rateOppo rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.2z
06 House, Brady WSH · R · 303 PA 0.58 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3z
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.57 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityPull rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z
08 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 585 PA 0.54 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.1z
09 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA 0.54 Barrel rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length -1.3z
10 Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 288 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Swing length -2.4zBarrel rate -1.5zBat speed -1.1z
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.52 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z
12 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 562 PA 0.52 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateSwing length Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.