The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 441 PA
Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 450 PA | 0.77 | Oppo rateStrikeout ratePull rate | Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.9zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 535 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Strikeout rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | In-zone contact +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA | 0.58 | Pull rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | House, Brady WSH · R · 303 PA | 0.58 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityPull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 585 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateOppo rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 288 PA | 0.53 | Fly-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate | Swing length -2.4zBarrel rate -1.5zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.52 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 562 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateSwing length | Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.