The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 549 PA
Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA | 0.82 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Swing length -1.3zWhiff rate -0.7zWalk rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedSweet-spot rateIsolated power | In-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA | 0.60 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedChase rate | Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | House, Brady WSH · R · 371 PA | 0.60 | Whiff rateSwing lengthBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.6zPull rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.59 | Avg exit velocityPull rateOppo rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 637 PA | 0.56 | Swing lengthStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA | 0.56 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA | 0.55 | Max exit velocityBat speedPull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.55 | Whiff rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Fly-ball rate +2.2zGround-ball rate -2.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 695 PA | 0.55 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 353 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Chase rate +2.2zSprint speed +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 389 PA | 0.53 | Whiff rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Swing length -2.4zBarrel rate -1.3zBat speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.