The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caratini, Victor in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 363 PA

Ranked comps for Caratini, Victor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 339 PA 0.71 Barrel rateSwing lengthWhiff rate In-zone contact -1.3zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 305 PA 0.71 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 409 PA 0.71 Barrel ratePull rateOppo rate Hard-hit rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 385 PA 0.70 Oppo rateBat speedChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zSprint speed +1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 394 PA 0.69 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateBat speed Walk rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.3zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.65 Swing lengthChase rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA 0.64 Isolated powerPull rateBarrel rate Fly-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Johnston, Troy COL · L · 421 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 601 PA 0.62 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityPull rate xwOBA on contact +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateBat speed Sprint speed +1.8zFly-ball rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.7zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 380 PA 0.59 In-zone contactPull rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.