The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (206+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 339 PA
Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 403 PA | 0.68 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.5zChase rate -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate +1.4zChase rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 247 PA | 0.67 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.8zSwing length -1.2zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA | 0.66 | Bat speedChase rateGround-ball rate | Pull rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.4zIn-zone contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 420 PA | 0.64 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactBat speed | Pull rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactSprint speed | Pull rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA | 0.63 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.7zBarrel rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA | 0.62 | Avg exit velocityChase rateIsolated power | Pull rate +2.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.62 | Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Fly-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | France, Ty SD · R · 249 PA | 0.61 | Ground-ball rateChase rateStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 248 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | Pull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.