The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 431 PA

Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Springer, George TOR · R · 467 PA 0.81 Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.6z
02 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 630 PA 0.81 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWhiff rate Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate -0.7zBarrel rate -0.5z
03 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 640 PA 0.74 Barrel rateBat speedChase rate Oppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -0.9z
04 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.73 Ground-ball ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9zChase rate -0.9z
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA 0.72 Walk rateOppo rateChase rate In-zone contact -1.2zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.8z
06 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 566 PA 0.71 Chase rateBat speedHard-hit rate Whiff rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.2z
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z
08 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 566 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateChase rate Walk rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9zMax exit velocity +0.9z
09 Contreras, William MIL · R · 572 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2zIsolated power -1.0z
10 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 385 PA 0.65 Whiff rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.9zxwOBA on contact +1.3zWalk rate -0.9z
11 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 411 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -1.2zWalk rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z
12 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 380 PA 0.65 In-zone contactChase rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.8zSwing length -1.1zBat speed -1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.