The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, William in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats R · 407 PA
Ranked comps for Contreras, William
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 250 PA | 0.75 | Walk ratePull rateStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 441 PA | 0.73 | Oppo rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.3zWalk rate +1.0zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 271 PA | 0.73 | In-zone contactIsolated powerSprint speed | Max exit velocity -1.5zWalk rate +0.8zAvg exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 406 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactSwing lengthAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity -1.1zBarrel rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA | 0.71 | Walk rateOppo ratePull rate | Sprint speed +1.6zBarrel rate -1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 218 PA | 0.70 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 361 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Chase rate -1.4zPull rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Guerrero Jr., Vladimir TOR · R · 406 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactPull rate | Fly-ball rate -1.2zBat speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 398 PA | 0.65 | Chase rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Springer, George TOR · R · 320 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 299 PA | 0.62 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -0.8zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 349 PA | 0.61 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | Isolated power +1.4zPull rate +1.3zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.