The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Stephenson, Tyler in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 282 PA

Ranked comps for Stephenson, Tyler

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA 0.70 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBat speed Swing length -1.4zSprint speed +1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R · 273 PA 0.68 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 434 PA 0.67 Barrel rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 352 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Smith, Will LAD · R · 212 PA 0.64 Isolated powerChase rateSweet-spot rate Whiff rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.2zBarrel rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 347 PA 0.63 Max exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zSwing length -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.6zChase rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 431 PA 0.57 Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Bat speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 349 PA 0.57 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 431 PA 0.56 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactChase rate Oppo rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 274 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 375 PA 0.54 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate Sweet-spot rate -2.6zIsolated power +1.0zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.