The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats L · 431 PA
Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Springer, George TOR · R · 467 PA | 0.81 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateIsolated power | Chase rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 630 PA | 0.81 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWhiff rate | Isolated power -1.2zFly-ball rate -0.7zBarrel rate -0.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 640 PA | 0.74 | Barrel rateBat speedChase rate | Oppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.73 | Ground-ball ratePull rateSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateOppo rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.2zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 566 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Whiff rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 566 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateChase rate | Walk rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 572 PA | 0.66 | Whiff rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | Pull rate -1.3zSwing length -1.2zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 385 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zxwOBA on contact +1.3zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 411 PA | 0.65 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Isolated power -1.2zWalk rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 380 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactChase rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.8zSwing length -1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.