The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 542 PA
Ranked comps for Burger, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 566 PA | 0.77 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 368 PA | 0.73 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +0.8zPull rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 564 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Sprint speed -1.1zOppo rate +0.9zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 371 PA | 0.72 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 565 PA | 0.71 | Walk rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.0zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 501 PA | 0.68 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.5zOppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 444 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.2zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 571 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateWalk rate | Pull rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | House, Brady WSH · R · 308 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 306 PA | 0.67 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Swing length -1.7zWhiff rate -1.1zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA | 0.67 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.