The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Jarren in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 557 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Jarren

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA 0.77 Swing lengthWalk rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 493 PA 0.76 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA 0.75 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthPull rate Sprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 561 PA 0.75 Max exit velocityBarrel rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.9zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA 0.70 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 574 PA 0.69 In-zone contactBarrel rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Young, Jared NYM · L · 299 PA 0.67 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 378 PA 0.67 Oppo rateGround-ball rateSprint speed Max exit velocity -1.7zIsolated power +1.0zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 House, Brady WSH · R · 299 PA 0.66 Swing lengthIsolated powerStrikeout rate Pull rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.66 Barrel rateStrikeout rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateBat speedGround-ball rate Whiff rate -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.62 Hard-hit ratePull rateAvg exit velocity Whiff rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.