The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Jarren in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 637 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Jarren

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.79 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSwing length Pull rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.9zMax exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 669 PA 0.77 Walk rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Pull rate -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 353 PA 0.75 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.73 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 711 PA 0.72 Barrel rateIn-zone contactChase rate Oppo rate +1.1zBat speed +0.9zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.72 Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate Sprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.68 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Walk rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.66 Bat speedGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Whiff rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zWalk rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA 0.65 Barrel rateWalk rateFly-ball rate Whiff rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.65 Swing lengthIsolated powerWhiff rate Fly-ball rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthWalk rate Whiff rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.