The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jensen, Carter in signal, the comp in amber.
KC · bats L · 531 PA
Ranked comps for Jensen, Carter
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 578 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed | Oppo rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 383 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateOppo rate | Fly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Chase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedPull rateGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 600 PA | 0.64 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.4zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 348 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity -1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.1zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.63 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityBat speed | xwOBA on contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 367 PA | 0.61 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -1.5zPull rate +1.4zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA | 0.58 | Max exit velocityWhiff rateBat speed | Chase rate +2.2zAvg exit velocity -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 590 PA | 0.57 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate | In-zone contact -1.6zSprint speed -1.3zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.56 | Isolated powerWhiff ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zxwOBA on contact +1.9zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.