The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Miguel in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats R · 440 PA

Ranked comps for Vargas, Miguel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 380 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 299 PA 0.61 Walk rateMax exit velocityBat speed Whiff rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 428 PA 0.56 Bat speedMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.7zOppo rate +1.5zSwing length -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 375 PA 0.55 Chase rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Strikeout rate +1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 318 PA 0.55 Oppo rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.3zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 352 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityPull rateGround-ball rate Barrel rate -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 415 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Soto, Juan NYM · L · 351 PA 0.54 Barrel rateWhiff ratePull rate Sprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 235 PA 0.53 Pull rateBat speedMax exit velocity Sprint speed -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 368 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 325 PA 0.53 Strikeout ratePull rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.3zBat speed -1.3zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Greene, Riley DET · L · 431 PA 0.52 Max exit velocityPull rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.7zWhiff rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.