The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baldwin, Drake in signal, the comp in amber.

ATL · bats L · 534 PA

Ranked comps for Baldwin, Drake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 625 PA 0.69 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.1zChase rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 393 PA 0.69 Swing lengthHard-hit rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Machado, Manny SD · R · 593 PA 0.69 Oppo rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Swing length +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 306 PA 0.68 Oppo rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Swing length -1.3zWalk rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 381 PA 0.67 Max exit velocitySprint speedFly-ball rate Hard-hit rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA 0.67 Bat speedPull rateOppo rate In-zone contact -1.3zWalk rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 483 PA 0.67 Swing lengthWhiff rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 444 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.7zPull rate +1.6zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 France, Ty SD · R · 436 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateChase rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 600 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Pull rate +2.3zOppo rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 628 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateWalk rateBarrel rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 584 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.8zBat speed -1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.